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Red84
697843.6
430843.1
686536.3
Blue57
912742.0
133421.1
790242.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123108501001502008457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+29Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points22
22Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +29
14Coral scored#5
50Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
60Total teleop31
Reef
9L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
84Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6978
#15
43.61.8
39.637.8
Auto7.7
Teleop34.3
End1.7
red by 1.5
7902
#31
42.13.2
41.137.9
Auto10.9
Teleop23.6
End7.6
Second
4308
#29
43.11.8
38.036.3
Auto8.4
Teleop32.6
End2.1
red by 1.1
9127
#43
42.03.2
33.029.8
Auto7.6
Teleop33.3
End1.1
Third
6865
#37
36.31.8
32.831.0
Auto5.7
Teleop29.5
End1.1
red by 15.2
1334
#50
21.13.2
30.327.2
Auto4.3
Teleop16.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed