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Red176
1061122.7
220079.9
61070.9
Blue127
720046.6
85432.7
808142.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1818550100150200250176127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+59Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave9
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points10
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +34
26Coral scored#17
92Coral points62
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
18Processor points18
16Net points12
34Algae points30
126Total teleop92
Reef
16L4#9
8L3#4
4L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
176Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.90.7
80.481.1
Auto23.8
Teleop54.6
End1.6
red by 33.3
7200
#14
46.62.1
33.535.6
Auto6.6
Teleop34.4
End5.5
Second
610
#8
70.90.7
57.357.9
Auto17.2
Teleop45.5
End8.2
red by 28.6
8081
#26
42.32.1
34.036.1
Auto8.1
Teleop24.6
End9.7
Third
22.70.7
20.320.9
Auto6.2
Teleop14.3
End2.2
blue by 9.9
854
#41
32.72.1
19.321.4
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned