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Red97
1027929.1
956935.2
468829.5
Blue120
316153.0
672534.3
78152.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761515010020097120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+13
Endgame+25
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points26
15Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +2
15Coral scored#18
54Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
78Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#10
3L3#6
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
2Foul points0
97Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9569
#24
35.20.6
28.429.0
Auto6.9
Teleop26.7
End1.6
blue by 17.8
3161
#23
53.01.4
49.247.8
Auto12.6
Teleop33.3
End7.1
Second
4688
#36
29.50.6
22.623.3
Auto4.1
Teleop24.0
End1.4
blue by 22.7
781
#17
52.31.4
49.448.0
Auto11.1
Teleop39.0
End2.2
Third
29.10.6
23.424.1
Auto6.2
Teleop21.4
End1.6
blue by 5.2
6725
#32
34.31.4
31.029.6
Auto7.7
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned