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Red138
872938.9
912742.0
430843.1
Blue267
61070.9
2056110.7
497652.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84249050150200300350138267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+53
Teleop+95
Endgame+131
Fouls+129
AutonomousBlue +53
9Leave3
1Coral scored#13
6Coral points65
15Total auto68
TeleoperatedBlue +42
20Coral scored#29
71Coral points103
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#9
12Processor points18
32Net points36
44Algae points54
115Total teleop157
Reef
9L4#13
4L3#13
5L2#10
3L1 · trough#6
31Game pieces#54
BargeBlue +36
0Cage & park36
0Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +129
8Foul points6
138Total score267

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4308
#29
43.11.6
36.337.9
Auto8.4
Teleop32.6
End2.1
blue by 67.6
110.72.0
113.4115.4
Auto31.3
Teleop69.1
End10.3
Second
9127
#43
42.01.6
29.831.4
Auto7.6
Teleop33.3
End1.1
blue by 28.9
610
#8
70.92.0
57.959.9
Auto17.2
Teleop45.5
End8.2
Third
8729
#18
38.91.6
28.229.8
Auto7.8
Teleop29.1
End2.1
blue by 13.5
4976
#20
52.42.0
48.650.6
Auto14.6
Teleop30.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned