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Qual 402025 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Technology Division
Red127
747644.2
468829.5
906236.0
Blue96
808142.3
697843.6
958026.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108106809010012013014015012796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+41Teleop
+33Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
18Coral points11
21Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +40
18Coral scored#11
66Coral points38
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
100Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#5
8L3#4
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points2
127Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7476
#19
44.21.8
40.9→42.8
Auto6.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0
red by 0.6
6978
#15
43.60.2
37.8→37.6
Auto7.7
Teleop34.3
End1.7
Second
9062
#22
36.01.8
32.3→34.2
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End0.9
blue by 6.3
8081
#26
42.30.2
36.1→35.9
Auto8.1
Teleop24.6
End9.7
Third
4688
#36
29.51.8
23.3→25.1
Auto4.1
Teleop24.0
End1.4
red by 3.3
9580
#46
26.30.2
22.8→22.7
Auto5.6
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned