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Red192
790242.1
260937.2
588548.5
Blue202
78152.3
956935.2
494686.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9817550150200250192202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+8
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
7Coral scored#7
33Coral points37
36Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +4
21Coral scored#27
74Coral points98
6Processor algae#2
8Net algae#9
36Processor points12
32Net points36
68Algae points48
142Total teleop146
Reef
9L4#16
9L3#7
5L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
192Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5885
#30
48.55.3
32.137.4
Auto16.8
Teleop29.9
End1.9
blue by 38.5
86.92.2
80.883.0
Auto20.8
Teleop55.4
End10.7
Second
7902
#31
42.15.3
37.943.2
Auto10.9
Teleop23.6
End7.6
blue by 10.1
781
#17
52.32.2
48.050.2
Auto11.1
Teleop39.0
End2.2
Third
2609
#34
37.25.3
31.937.1
Auto5.7
Teleop24.1
End7.3
red by 2.0
9569
#24
35.22.2
29.031.2
Auto6.9
Teleop26.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned