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Red217
467897.4
771238.7
720046.6
Blue147
85432.7
406953.9
909863.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184132100150200250217147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+78Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave9
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points28
47Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +68
33Coral scored#14
118Coral points52
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
154Total teleop86
Reef
18L4#8
12L3#5
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
49Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
217Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.43.6
97.7101.3
Auto26.2
Teleop61.2
End9.9
red by 33.5
63.91.2
62.363.5
Auto15.5
Teleop36.4
End11.9
Second
7200
#14
46.63.6
35.338.9
Auto6.6
Teleop34.4
End5.5
blue by 7.4
4069
#11
53.91.2
44.946.1
Auto14.7
Teleop33.4
End5.8
Third
7712
#33
38.73.6
30.434.0
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End3.9
red by 6.1
854
#41
32.71.2
21.622.8
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsEarned33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned