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Red134
238635.5
220079.9
495130.9
Blue81
540827.2
316153.0
430843.1
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521055020013481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+51Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave9
6Coral scored#4
32Coral points19
41Total auto28
TeleoperatedRed +38
17Coral scored#8
61Coral points27
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
18Processor points6
8Net points16
26Algae points22
87Total teleop49
Reef
9L4#5
8L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
134Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.90.6
80.880.2
Auto23.8
Teleop54.6
End1.6
red by 26.9
3161
#23
53.01.6
45.744.1
Auto12.6
Teleop33.3
End7.1
Second
2386
#25
35.50.6
32.331.7
Auto8.9
Teleop22.1
End4.5
blue by 7.6
4308
#29
43.11.6
37.936.3
Auto8.4
Teleop32.6
End2.1
Third
4951
#13
30.90.6
24.023.4
Auto6.3
Teleop23.3
End1.4
red by 3.7
5408
#40
27.21.6
18.717.0
Auto4.8
Teleop21.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed