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Red214
540989.3
494686.9
697843.6
Blue133
978227.6
497652.4
78152.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22112250100150200250300214133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+69Teleop
+81Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
8Coral scored#7
39Coral points37
48Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +58
26Coral scored#18
92Coral points66
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
24Processor points12
32Net points12
56Algae points24
148Total teleop90
Reef
16L4#11
5L3#6
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
46Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
2Foul points2
214Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.30.6
89.789.0
Auto25.2
Teleop61.1
End3.0
red by 36.9
4976
#20
52.40.2
50.650.4
Auto14.6
Teleop30.6
End7.2
Second
86.90.6
83.082.3
Auto20.8
Teleop55.4
End10.7
red by 34.7
781
#17
52.30.2
50.250.0
Auto11.1
Teleop39.0
End2.2
Third
6978
#15
43.60.6
37.637.0
Auto7.7
Teleop34.3
End1.7
red by 15.9
9782
#35
27.60.2
21.321.2
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed