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Red121
588548.5
1027929.1
567237.0
Blue132
1061122.7
747644.2
790242.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100130050150200250300121132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
33Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +1
13Coral scored#18
46Coral points63
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
12Processor points6
28Net points16
40Algae points22
86Total teleop85
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points6
121Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5885
#30
48.51.7
37.439.1
Auto16.8
Teleop29.9
End1.9
red by 4.3
7476
#19
44.20.6
42.843.4
Auto6.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0
Second
5672
#28
37.01.7
30.532.2
Auto5.4
Teleop26.3
End5.2
blue by 5.1
7902
#31
42.10.6
43.243.8
Auto10.9
Teleop23.6
End7.6
Third
29.11.7
21.823.5
Auto6.2
Teleop21.4
End1.6
red by 6.4
22.70.6
22.423.0
Auto6.2
Teleop14.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned