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Red109
406953.9
808142.3
748048.4
Blue179
872938.9
495130.9
494686.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13315280100120160180200220109179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+72
Endgame+70
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +65
13Coral scored#26
46Coral points93
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
12Processor points18
12Net points24
24Algae points42
70Total teleop135
Reef
7L4#14
3L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#39
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points0
109Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4069
#11
53.91.3
46.144.8
Auto14.7
Teleop33.4
End5.8
blue by 33.0
86.92.8
82.385.1
Auto20.8
Teleop55.4
End10.7
Second
7480
#16
48.41.3
44.643.4
Auto10.7
Teleop33.0
End4.7
red by 9.5
8729
#18
38.92.8
32.034.8
Auto7.8
Teleop29.1
End2.1
Third
8081
#26
42.31.3
37.336.0
Auto8.1
Teleop24.6
End9.7
red by 11.4
4951
#13
30.92.8
23.426.1
Auto6.3
Teleop23.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned