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Red167
270258.6
686536.3
316153.0
Blue195
18859.8
61070.9
587033.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130158100200167195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +32
9Leave9
3Coral scored#10
17Coral points49
26Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +4
24Coral scored#25
87Coral points89
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
125Total teleop121
Reef
10L4#13
10L3#11
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
167Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#12
58.62.9
49.552.4
Auto7.3
Teleop43.2
End8.1
blue by 12.3
610
#8
70.93.4
58.962.4
Auto17.2
Teleop45.5
End8.2
Second
3161
#23
53.02.9
44.146.9
Auto12.6
Teleop33.3
End7.1
blue by 6.8
188
#21
59.83.4
54.157.5
Auto18.2
Teleop36.0
End5.5
Third
6865
#37
36.32.9
30.633.5
Auto5.7
Teleop29.5
End1.1
red by 2.8
5870
#42
33.53.4
30.734.1
Auto4.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned