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Red176
406953.9
494686.9
468829.5
Blue107
912742.0
956220.5
77236.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18277050100150200250300176107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+45Teleop
+67Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points4
26Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +32
26Coral scored#21
92Coral points74
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
124Total teleop92
Reef
10L4#12
10L3#4
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#26
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
2Foul points0
176Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.90.1
85.185.2
Auto20.8
Teleop55.4
End10.7
red by 44.9
9127
#43
42.00.6
35.135.7
Auto7.6
Teleop33.3
End1.1
Second
4069
#11
53.90.1
44.844.9
Auto14.7
Teleop33.4
End5.8
red by 17.6
772
#45
36.30.6
28.729.3
Auto5.0
Teleop28.7
End2.6
Third
4688
#36
29.50.1
29.129.2
Auto4.1
Teleop24.0
End1.4
red by 9.0
9562
#49
20.50.6
19.420.0
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
82%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed