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Red165
111482.2
697843.6
316153.0
Blue94
238635.5
808142.3
540827.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180825010015020025016594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+81Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +71
25Coral scored#12
90Coral points43
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
128Total teleop57
Reef
10L4#8
6L3#4
8L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
165Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.20.5
71.271.7
Auto20.1
Teleop56.2
End5.9
red by 39.9
8081
#26
42.30.4
36.036.4
Auto8.1
Teleop24.6
End9.7
Second
3161
#23
53.00.5
46.947.5
Auto12.6
Teleop33.3
End7.1
red by 17.5
2386
#25
35.50.4
31.732.2
Auto8.9
Teleop22.1
End4.5
Third
6978
#15
43.60.5
39.239.7
Auto7.7
Teleop34.3
End1.7
red by 16.4
5408
#40
27.20.4
19.820.3
Auto4.8
Teleop21.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned