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Red117
912742.0
587033.5
686536.3
Blue175
747644.2
316153.0
494686.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10420650150250300117175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+36
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave9
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points28
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +18
21Coral scored#22
76Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
12Processor points12
8Net points24
20Algae points36
96Total teleop114
Reef
10L4#13
6L3#5
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#6
28Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
117Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9127
#43
42.00.1
35.735.6
Auto7.6
Teleop33.3
End1.1
blue by 44.9
86.91.1
85.284.1
Auto20.8
Teleop55.4
End10.7
Second
6865
#37
36.30.1
33.933.8
Auto5.7
Teleop29.5
End1.1
blue by 16.7
3161
#23
53.01.1
47.546.4
Auto12.6
Teleop33.3
End7.1
Third
5870
#42
33.50.1
37.237.0
Auto4.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
blue by 10.7
7476
#19
44.21.1
44.243.1
Auto6.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned