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Red220
540677.8
406953.9
375627.3
Blue139
468829.5
567237.0
85432.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1739150150200250220139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+71Teleop
+81Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave0
8Coral scored#2
38Coral points12
47Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +36
30Coral scored#24
107Coral points85
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
149Total teleop113
Reef
11L4#10
14L3#8
8L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
47Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points0
220Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.83.7
71.675.3
Auto18.0
Teleop48.3
End11.5
red by 40.8
5672
#28
37.02.0
33.235.2
Auto5.4
Teleop26.3
End5.2
Second
4069
#11
53.93.7
44.948.6
Auto14.7
Teleop33.4
End5.8
red by 21.3
854
#41
32.72.0
25.327.3
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End8.2
Third
3756
#48
27.33.7
25.128.8
Auto1.2
Teleop21.6
End4.4
blue by 2.3
4688
#36
29.52.0
29.231.2
Auto4.1
Teleop24.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned