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Red112
956220.5
78152.3
540827.2
Blue129
958026.3
18859.8
872938.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9513150150200250112129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave0
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points33
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +14
18Coral scored#16
64Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
90Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#10
5L3#5
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
2Foul points6
112Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#17
52.31.0
48.849.8
Auto11.1
Teleop39.0
End2.2
blue by 7.5
188
#21
59.80.1
56.256.4
Auto18.2
Teleop36.0
End5.5
Second
5408
#40
27.21.0
20.321.3
Auto4.8
Teleop21.1
End1.3
blue by 11.7
8729
#18
38.90.1
34.834.9
Auto7.8
Teleop29.1
End2.1
Third
9562
#49
20.51.0
20.021.1
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.6
blue by 5.7
9580
#46
26.30.1
23.823.9
Auto5.6
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned