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Red213
111482.2
540989.3
1061122.7
Blue132
790242.1
720046.6
906236.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208113050100150250213132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+30Auto
+85Teleop
+85Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +30
3Leave9
11Coral scored#4
54Coral points18
57Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +55
31Coral scored#14
110Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
6Processor points12
24Net points24
30Algae points36
140Total teleop85
Reef
15L4#6
14L3#4
9L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
2Foul points6
213Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.31.0
88.289.3
Auto25.2
Teleop61.1
End3.0
red by 42.8
7200
#14
46.60.1
44.144.0
Auto6.6
Teleop34.4
End5.5
Second
82.21.0
73.574.5
Auto20.1
Teleop56.2
End5.9
red by 40.1
7902
#31
42.10.1
43.343.2
Auto10.9
Teleop23.6
End7.6
Third
22.71.0
22.623.6
Auto6.2
Teleop14.3
End2.2
blue by 13.3
9062
#22
36.00.1
29.028.9
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned