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Red132
492047.1
808142.3
131049.7
Blue188
238635.5
956935.2
467897.4
5%Model gave it95%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128184100150200250132188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+56
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +46
16Coral scored#24
58Coral points86
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
12Processor points18
16Net points28
28Algae points46
86Total teleop132
Reef
6L4#12
7L3#10
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
132Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#27
49.70.3
44.745.0
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End9.2
blue by 47.6
97.41.6
98.299.8
Auto26.2
Teleop61.2
End9.9
Second
4920
#44
47.10.3
46.947.2
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End1.1
red by 11.5
2386
#25
35.51.6
32.534.1
Auto8.9
Teleop22.1
End4.5
Third
8081
#26
42.30.3
36.436.7
Auto8.1
Teleop24.6
End9.7
red by 7.1
9569
#24
35.21.6
33.034.6
Auto6.9
Teleop26.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned