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Red54
495130.9
85432.7
790242.1
Blue151
587033.5
111482.2
497652.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791685010015020025054151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+83
Endgame+95
Fouls+97
AutonomousBlue +9
9Leave9
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points18
18Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +74
4Coral scored#22
14Coral points80
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
24Total teleop98
Reef
2L4#11
2L3#7
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
8Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
12Cage & park24
12Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +97
0Foul points2
54Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7902
#31
42.12.4
38.636.1
Auto10.9
Teleop23.6
End7.6
blue by 40.1
82.20.3
75.274.9
Auto20.1
Teleop56.2
End5.9
Second
854
#41
32.72.4
19.016.6
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End8.2
blue by 19.7
4976
#20
52.40.3
47.046.7
Auto14.6
Teleop30.6
End7.2
Third
4951
#13
30.92.4
24.522.1
Auto6.3
Teleop23.3
End1.4
blue by 2.5
5870
#42
33.50.3
25.625.2
Auto4.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned