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Red165
375627.3
872938.9
131049.7
Blue165
909863.9
270258.6
697843.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10015850200250165165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+16
Endgame+6
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +9
15Coral scored#18
55Coral points64
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
24Processor points24
24Net points24
48Algae points48
103Total teleop112
Reef
10L4#11
4L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points0
165Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#27
49.7
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End9.2
blue by 14.2
63.9
Auto15.5
Teleop36.4
End11.9
Second
8729
#18
38.9
Auto7.8
Teleop29.1
End2.1
blue by 19.7
2702
#12
58.6
Auto7.3
Teleop43.2
End8.1
Third
3756
#48
27.3
Auto1.2
Teleop21.6
End4.4
blue by 16.3
6978
#15
43.6
Auto7.7
Teleop34.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned