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Red170
430843.1
497652.4
467897.4
Blue144
316153.0
958026.3
588548.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21810650150200250300170144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+16Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
6Coral scored#8
28Coral points38
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +23
23Coral scored#16
81Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
105Total teleop82
Reef
9L4#10
7L3#7
8L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
2Foul points2
170Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.41.9
99.897.9
Auto26.2
Teleop61.2
End9.9
red by 44.4
3161
#23
53.01.9
46.448.3
Auto12.6
Teleop33.3
End7.1
Second
4976
#20
52.41.9
53.751.9
Auto14.6
Teleop30.6
End7.2
red by 3.9
5885
#30
48.51.9
42.744.7
Auto16.8
Teleop29.9
End1.9
Third
4308
#29
43.11.9
42.440.5
Auto8.4
Teleop32.6
End2.1
red by 16.8
9580
#46
26.31.9
23.925.8
Auto5.6
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned