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Red78
468829.5
238635.5
587033.5
Blue147
909863.9
18859.8
720046.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021925015025030078147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+45
Endgame+69
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +24
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
60Total teleop84
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#4
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points0
78Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#25
35.51.6
34.132.5
Auto8.9
Teleop22.1
End4.5
blue by 28.4
63.91.2
64.563.3
Auto15.5
Teleop36.4
End11.9
Second
5870
#42
33.51.6
37.035.4
Auto4.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
blue by 26.3
188
#21
59.81.2
56.455.2
Auto18.2
Teleop36.0
End5.5
Third
4688
#36
29.51.6
31.229.6
Auto4.1
Teleop24.0
End1.4
blue by 17.0
7200
#14
46.61.2
44.042.8
Auto6.6
Teleop34.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned