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Red112
85432.7
492047.1
978227.6
Blue160
808142.3
270258.6
567237.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10614650200112160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points14
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +35
11Coral scored#23
38Coral points81
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
66Total teleop101
Reef
5L4#10
6L3#7
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
112Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4920
#44
47.10.8
47.248.0
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End1.1
blue by 11.5
2702
#12
58.62.0
54.956.9
Auto7.3
Teleop43.2
End8.1
Second
854
#41
32.70.8
27.328.1
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End8.2
blue by 9.6
8081
#26
42.32.0
36.738.7
Auto8.1
Teleop24.6
End9.7
Third
9782
#35
27.60.8
22.823.6
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End2.1
blue by 9.4
5672
#28
37.02.0
35.237.2
Auto5.4
Teleop26.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned