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Qual 782025 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Technology Division
Red121
494686.9
672534.3
956220.5
Blue188
697843.6
2056110.7
375627.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151211100200250300121188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+47
Endgame+55
Fouls+67
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points31
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +54
11Coral scored#25
41Coral points91
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
59Total teleop113
Reef
8L4#16
5L3#8
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
2Foul points14
121Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4946
#2
86.91.2
84.1→82.9
Auto20.8
Teleop55.4
End10.7
blue by 23.8
2056
#3
110.70.3
107.6→107.3
Auto31.3
Teleop69.1
End10.3
Second
6725
#32
34.31.2
32.3→31.1
Auto7.7
Teleop25.0
End1.7
blue by 9.2
6978
#15
43.60.3
42.0→41.7
Auto7.7
Teleop34.3
End1.7
Third
9562
#49
20.51.2
21.1→19.8
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.6
blue by 6.7
3756
#48
27.30.3
28.8→28.5
Auto1.2
Teleop21.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsMissed81%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned