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Qual 842025 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Technology Division
Red181
111482.2
540827.2
912742.0
Blue150
1027929.1
672534.3
808142.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16510150150200250181150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+41Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +34
29Coral scored#21
105Coral points75
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
24Processor points12
16Net points24
40Algae points36
145Total teleop111
Reef
18L4#9
8L3#6
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
181Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#6
82.21.7
74.5→76.2
Auto20.1
Teleop56.2
End5.9
red by 39.9
8081
#26
42.32.3
38.7→41.1
Auto8.1
Teleop24.6
End9.7
Second
9127
#43
42.01.7
37.8→39.4
Auto7.6
Teleop33.3
End1.1
red by 7.7
6725
#32
34.32.3
31.1→33.4
Auto7.7
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Third
5408
#40
27.21.7
24.4→26.1
Auto4.8
Teleop21.1
End1.3
blue by 1.9
10279
#39
29.12.3
25.0→27.3
Auto6.2
Teleop21.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned