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Red211
958026.3
2056110.7
748048.4
Blue90
1061122.7
375627.3
686536.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220905015020025030021190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+36Auto
+101Teleop
+115Endgame
+121Fouls
AutonomousRed +36
3Leave9
10Coral scored#1
48Coral points6
51Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +65
29Coral scored#15
104Coral points53
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
18Processor points12
16Net points8
34Algae points20
138Total teleop73
Reef
12L4#6
10L3#4
11L2#4
6L1 · trough#2
46Game pieces#20
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +121
6Foul points0
211Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.71.4
107.3108.7
Auto31.3
Teleop69.1
End10.3
red by 74.4
6865
#37
36.30.3
35.735.4
Auto5.7
Teleop29.5
End1.1
Second
7480
#16
48.41.4
45.847.2
Auto10.7
Teleop33.0
End4.7
red by 21.1
3756
#48
27.30.3
28.528.2
Auto1.2
Teleop21.6
End4.4
Third
9580
#46
26.31.4
25.827.2
Auto5.6
Teleop18.9
End1.8
red by 3.5
22.70.3
23.823.5
Auto6.2
Teleop14.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed