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Qual 902025 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Technology Division
Red203
430843.1
111482.2
406953.9
Blue205
540989.3
491767.4
1027929.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182200140160220240260203205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+6
Endgame+4
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave9
8Coral scored#8
40Coral points42
43Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +2
23Coral scored#23
84Coral points82
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#7
18Processor points18
28Net points28
46Algae points46
130Total teleop128
Reef
14L4#12
6L3#9
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#41
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
14Foul points12
203Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#6
82.21.3
76.2→77.5
Auto20.1
Teleop56.2
End5.9
blue by 7.1
5409
#7
89.30.4
89.7→90.1
Auto25.2
Teleop61.1
End3.0
Second
4069
#11
53.91.3
50.7→52.0
Auto14.7
Teleop33.4
End5.8
blue by 13.4
4917
#10
67.40.4
66.3→66.7
Auto19.0
Teleop37.7
End10.7
Third
4308
#29
43.11.3
40.5→41.8
Auto8.4
Teleop32.6
End2.1
red by 14.0
10279
#39
29.10.4
27.3→27.8
Auto6.2
Teleop21.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
90%Coral oddsEarned54%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned