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Red168
61070.9
495130.9
808142.3
Blue142
18859.8
567237.0
672534.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152135100200250168142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+4Teleop
+16Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points28
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +11
22Coral scored#18
78Coral points63
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
12Processor points24
20Net points12
32Algae points36
110Total teleop99
Reef
13L4#10
4L3#6
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
12Foul points2
168Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#8
70.91.2
66.667.8
Auto17.2
Teleop45.5
End8.2
red by 11.2
188
#21
59.80.9
56.957.8
Auto18.2
Teleop36.0
End5.5
Second
8081
#26
42.31.2
41.142.3
Auto8.1
Teleop24.6
End9.7
red by 5.3
5672
#28
37.00.9
36.137.0
Auto5.4
Teleop26.3
End5.2
Third
4951
#13
30.91.2
29.730.9
Auto6.3
Teleop23.3
End1.4
blue by 3.4
6725
#32
34.30.9
33.434.3
Auto7.7
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed