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Red157
909863.9
316153.0
956935.2
Blue137
958026.3
375627.3
540989.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16416150100200250300157137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+24Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +6
21Coral scored#21
77Coral points75
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
101Total teleop95
Reef
11L4#7
6L3#5
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#6
31Game pieces#29
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
2Foul points6
157Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.90.5
62.262.7
Auto15.5
Teleop36.4
End11.9
blue by 25.4
89.31.0
90.189.1
Auto25.2
Teleop61.1
End3.0
Second
3161
#23
53.00.5
50.551.0
Auto12.6
Teleop33.3
End7.1
red by 25.7
3756
#48
27.31.0
28.227.3
Auto1.2
Teleop21.6
End4.4
Third
9569
#24
35.20.5
34.735.2
Auto6.9
Teleop26.7
End1.6
red by 8.9
9580
#46
26.31.0
27.226.3
Auto5.6
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed