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Red215
122935.4
790242.1
2056110.7
Blue149
131049.7
238635.5
406953.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213136100150200250300215149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
+78Teleop
+68Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
6Leave0
11Coral scored#7
53Coral points33
59Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +52
21Coral scored#17
76Coral points60
5Processor algae#3
9Net algae#3
30Processor points18
36Net points12
66Algae points30
142Total teleop90
Reef
12L4#10
7L3#4
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points2
215Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.72.0
108.7110.7
Auto31.3
Teleop69.1
End10.3
red by 56.8
4069
#11
53.90.8
52.052.8
Auto14.7
Teleop33.4
End5.8
Second
7902
#31
42.12.0
40.142.1
Auto10.9
Teleop23.6
End7.6
blue by 7.6
1310
#27
49.70.8
47.748.5
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End9.2
Third
1229
#38
35.42.0
33.435.4
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
blue by 0.1
2386
#25
35.50.8
34.735.5
Auto8.9
Teleop22.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
88%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned