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Red215
111482.2
77236.3
61070.9
Blue203
540677.8
748048.4
220079.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201218150250300215203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
+4Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave9
4Coral scored#10
21Coral points49
30Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +32
36Coral scored#23
131Coral points81
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
12Processor points18
16Net points28
28Algae points46
159Total teleop127
Reef
15L4#10
12L3#10
8L2#8
5L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#43
BargeRed +8
26Cage & park18
26Total endgame18
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
215Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.20.7
80.381.0
Auto20.1
Teleop56.2
End5.9
red by 2.3
79.90.1
80.079.9
Auto23.8
Teleop54.6
End1.6
Second
610
#8
70.90.7
69.169.8
Auto17.2
Teleop45.5
End8.2
blue by 6.9
77.80.1
77.977.8
Auto18.0
Teleop48.3
End11.5
Third
772
#45
36.30.7
34.435.1
Auto5.0
Teleop28.7
End2.6
blue by 12.1
7480
#16
48.40.1
48.548.4
Auto10.7
Teleop33.0
End4.7