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Red107
260932.6
878913.8
490768.6
Blue155
888465.0
447650.2
61049.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140208050100250300350107155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+64
Endgame+40
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +42
0Leave6
3Coral scored#10
16Coral points52
16Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +22
9Coral scored#18
31Coral points65
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
65Total teleop87
Reef
5L4#9
2L3#8
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#33
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points8
107Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.61.6
79.177.5
Auto17.2
Teleop41.9
End9.4
red by 3.6
8884
#16
65.02.3
69.667.3
Auto17.5
Teleop42.6
End4.8
Second
2609
#17
32.61.6
33.131.5
Auto5.5
Teleop19.5
End7.6
blue by 17.6
4476
#14
50.22.3
47.945.6
Auto11.2
Teleop38.3
End0.9
Third
8789
#25
13.81.6
19.117.5
Auto1.3
Teleop11.2
End1.3
blue by 36.1
610
#19
49.92.3
64.061.7
Auto16.2
Teleop27.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed90%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed