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Red140
697835.1
316134.8
368375.5
Blue168
790231.7
124178.3
747533.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179149050100200250300350140168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+30
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +16
20Coral scored#23
71Coral points81
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
18Processor points24
24Net points24
42Algae points48
113Total teleop129
Reef
11L4#13
4L3#9
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#40
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
140Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.52.1
75.873.7
Auto24.4
Teleop48.7
End2.5
blue by 2.8
78.31.5
73.575.0
Auto26.4
Teleop50.4
End1.5
Second
6978
#15
35.12.1
38.436.3
Auto7.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
red by 2.1
33.01.5
31.032.4
Auto4.8
Teleop27.1
End1.0
Third
3161
#21
34.82.1
46.644.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.1
End5.9
red by 3.1
7902
#10
31.71.5
30.331.7
Auto3.2
Teleop25.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed