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Red224
399069.6
540976.0
467881.2
Blue98
752041.0
999927.9
591236.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2608305015020030035022498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+108Teleop
+126Endgame
+126Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points34
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +94
27Coral scored#10
97Coral points35
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
24Processor points12
28Net points8
52Algae points20
149Total teleop55
Reef
13L4#6
8L3#4
8L2#3
7L1 · trough#4
47Game pieces#21
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +126
0Foul points0
224Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.20.5
80.680.2
Auto25.0
Teleop47.1
End9.1
red by 40.2
7520
#20
41.00.3
43.543.1
Auto15.4
Teleop23.7
End2.1
Second
76.00.5
82.481.9
Auto22.0
Teleop51.1
End2.9
red by 39.9
5912
#27
36.10.3
38.338.0
Auto9.4
Teleop26.0
End0.6
Third
3990
#7Sur
69.60.5
67.967.5
Auto16.8
Teleop43.7
End9.1
red by 41.7
27.90.6
21.320.7
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
90%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned3%Barge oddsMissed