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Red145
111476.4
686521.5
131048.8
Blue137
765926.5
205699.4
353830.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167216050100150250300350145137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+16Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points28
44Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +6
21Coral scored#17
75Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
95Total teleop89
Reef
10L4#10
8L3#5
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
145Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#13
76.41.1
77.376.2
Auto18.8
Teleop52.1
End5.6
blue by 22.9
2056
#11
99.43.5
102.398.8
Auto28.5
Teleop60.8
End10.0
Second
1310
#12Sur
48.81.1
46.845.7
Auto11.9
Teleop29.5
End7.3
red by 18.8
3538
#26
30.03.5
50.146.6
Auto8.2
Teleop22.4
End-0.6
Third
6865
#18
21.51.1
31.930.8
Auto4.3
Teleop15.9
End1.3
blue by 5.0
7659
#22Sur
26.53.5
32.128.6
Auto3.3
Teleop16.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed71%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed