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Red91
447650.2
316134.8
906217.4
Blue177
490768.6
716666.1
697835.1
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12220505010015025030091177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+76
Endgame+86
Fouls+86
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +55
15Coral scored#22
55Coral points80
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#8
6Processor points12
8Net points32
14Algae points44
69Total teleop124
Reef
6L4#13
6L3#10
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +86
0Foul points0
91Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#14
50.22.2
50.147.9
Auto11.2
Teleop38.3
End0.9
blue by 18.3
68.60.9
80.079.1
Auto17.2
Teleop41.9
End9.4
Second
3161
#21
34.82.2
48.846.6
Auto9.7
Teleop19.1
End5.9
blue by 31.3
66.10.9
65.764.8
Auto12.1
Teleop46.9
End7.1
Third
9062
#23
17.42.2
19.717.5
Auto1.1
Teleop15.0
End1.3
blue by 17.8
6978
#15
35.10.9
39.338.4
Auto7.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed47%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned