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Red213
999927.9
124178.3
205699.4
Blue193
131048.8
697835.1
399069.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220155050100200250300350213193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+16Teleop
+26Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave3
12Coral scored#7
62Coral points37
65Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +9
25Coral scored#26
90Coral points95
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
18Processor points18
24Net points28
42Algae points46
132Total teleop141
Reef
13L4#11
13L3#8
5L2#8
6L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#43
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points6
213Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#11
99.40.8
98.899.6
Auto28.5
Teleop60.8
End10.0
red by 29.8
69.62.2
67.569.6
Auto16.8
Teleop43.7
End9.1
Second
78.30.8
75.075.8
Auto26.4
Teleop50.4
End1.5
red by 29.6
1310
#12
48.82.2
45.747.8
Auto11.9
Teleop29.5
End7.3
Third
27.91.4
20.722.1
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End1.4
blue by 7.3
6978
#15
35.12.2
36.338.4
Auto7.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
88%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsMissed