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Red105
878913.8
447650.2
765926.5
Blue183
752041.0
205699.4
790231.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94213050150250300350105183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+66
Endgame+78
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave0
3Coral scored#9
16Coral points44
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +38
17Coral scored#25
61Coral points89
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
85Total teleop123
Reef
9L4#16
4L3#9
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points0
105Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#14
50.20.1
46.846.7
Auto11.2
Teleop38.3
End0.9
blue by 49.2
2056
#11
99.40.2
99.699.4
Auto28.5
Teleop60.8
End10.0
Second
7659
#22
26.50.1
29.429.3
Auto3.3
Teleop16.7
End6.5
blue by 14.5
7520
#20
41.00.2
43.343.0
Auto15.4
Teleop23.7
End2.1
Third
8789
#25
13.80.1
19.119.0
Auto1.3
Teleop11.2
End1.3
blue by 17.9
7902
#10
31.70.2
32.532.3
Auto3.2
Teleop25.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed60%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned