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Red183
124178.3
316134.8
260932.6
Blue179
467881.2
999927.9
111476.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158193050100250300183179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
10Coral scored#10
51Coral points48
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +6
24Coral scored#27
86Coral points98
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
6Processor points12
24Net points12
30Algae points24
116Total teleop122
Reef
16L4#14
5L3#9
7L2#8
6L1 · trough#6
41Game pieces#42
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
183Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.31.7
75.877.5
Auto26.4
Teleop50.4
End1.5
blue by 2.9
81.20.5
76.676.1
Auto25.0
Teleop47.1
End9.1
Second
3161
#21
34.81.7
38.139.8
Auto9.7
Teleop19.1
End5.9
blue by 41.7
1114
#13
76.40.5
76.375.8
Auto18.8
Teleop52.1
End5.6
Third
2609
#17
32.61.7
32.734.3
Auto5.5
Teleop19.5
End7.6
red by 4.7
27.90.8
22.121.3
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned77%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsMissed