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Red146
285211.4
61049.9
716666.1
Blue158
747533.0
368375.5
490768.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161207050100250300146158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +31
9Leave9
2Coral scored#8
11Coral points42
20Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +17
25Coral scored#15
90Coral points55
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#9
18Processor points12
12Net points36
30Algae points48
120Total teleop103
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#6
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
146Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.10.9
64.964.0
Auto12.1
Teleop46.9
End7.1
blue by 9.4
75.52.5
73.771.2
Auto24.4
Teleop48.7
End2.5
Second
610
#19
49.90.9
61.760.8
Auto16.2
Teleop27.9
End5.7
blue by 18.7
68.62.5
77.575.0
Auto17.2
Teleop41.9
End9.4
Third
2852
#24
11.40.9
24.223.3
Auto1.5
Teleop8.7
End1.2
blue by 21.6
33.02.5
32.430.0
Auto4.8
Teleop27.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed