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Red59
686521.5
697835.1
61049.9
Blue54
285211.4
540976.0
316134.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13215501002003004005005954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +8
3Coral scored#1
9Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
13Total teleop5
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points2
59Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#19
49.94.2
56.852.6
Auto16.2
Teleop27.9
End5.7
blue by 26.1
76.06.1
83.177.0
Auto22.0
Teleop51.1
End2.9
Second
6978
#15
35.14.2
38.834.5
Auto7.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
red by 0.3
3161
#21
34.86.1
39.833.7
Auto9.7
Teleop19.1
End5.9
Third
6865
#18
21.54.2
27.122.9
Auto4.3
Teleop15.9
End1.3
red by 10.1
2852
#24
11.46.1
20.614.5
Auto1.5
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed