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Red192
131048.8
368375.5
999927.9
Blue181
447650.2
490768.6
111476.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136232050100200250300350192181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points28
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +13
24Coral scored#24
85Coral points88
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
24Processor points18
16Net points32
40Algae points50
125Total teleop138
Reef
13L4#12
9L3#8
8L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#41
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
192Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.52.8
70.773.5
Auto24.4
Teleop48.7
End2.5
blue by 0.9
1114
#13
76.41.9
77.675.8
Auto18.8
Teleop52.1
End5.6
Second
1310
#12
48.82.8
45.448.3
Auto11.9
Teleop29.5
End7.3
blue by 19.8
68.61.9
70.668.7
Auto17.2
Teleop41.9
End9.4
Third
27.94.7
21.926.7
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End1.4
blue by 22.4
4476
#14
50.21.9
49.447.5
Auto11.2
Teleop38.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned88%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed