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Red121
61049.9
765926.5
399069.6
Blue170
316134.8
467881.2
131048.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176172100120140160200220121170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+55
Endgame+55
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
7Coral scored#8
34Coral points42
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +41
12Coral scored#20
44Coral points71
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
62Total teleop103
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#11
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#6
23Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
6Foul points0
121Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.62.8
71.768.9
Auto16.8
Teleop43.7
End9.1
blue by 11.6
81.20.4
78.879.2
Auto25.0
Teleop47.1
End9.1
Second
610
#19
49.92.8
52.649.8
Auto16.2
Teleop27.9
End5.7
red by 1.1
1310
#12
48.80.4
48.348.7
Auto11.9
Teleop29.5
End7.3
Third
7659
#22
26.52.8
29.326.5
Auto3.3
Teleop16.7
End6.5
blue by 8.3
3161
#21
34.80.4
33.734.1
Auto9.7
Teleop19.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned