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Red181
205699.4
906217.4
124178.3
Blue130
61049.9
686521.5
131048.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228122050100150200250300350181130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+61Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +68
28Coral scored#15
101Coral points53
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
145Total teleop77
Reef
15L4#9
7L3#6
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
181Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#11
99.40.2
98.097.8
Auto28.5
Teleop60.8
End10.0
red by 49.5
610
#19
49.90.2
49.850.0
Auto16.2
Teleop27.9
End5.7
Second
78.30.2
76.976.7
Auto26.4
Teleop50.4
End1.5
red by 29.6
1310
#12
48.80.2
48.748.9
Auto11.9
Teleop29.5
End7.3
Third
9062
#23
17.40.2
15.915.7
Auto1.1
Teleop15.0
End1.3
blue by 4.1
6865
#18
21.50.2
21.421.6
Auto4.3
Teleop15.9
End1.3