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Red171
353830.0
540976.0
999927.9
Blue138
447650.2
752041.0
747533.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138129050100200250300350400171138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave3
10Coral scored#3
51Coral points13
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +2
22Coral scored#24
78Coral points88
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
18Processor points18
20Net points12
38Algae points30
116Total teleop118
Reef
11L4#6
9L3#10
8L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
171Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.00.9
75.276.1
Auto22.0
Teleop51.1
End2.9
red by 25.8
4476
#14
50.20.5
47.548.0
Auto11.2
Teleop38.3
End0.9
Second
3538
#26
30.00.9
29.230.1
Auto8.2
Teleop22.4
End-0.6
blue by 11.1
7520
#20
41.00.5
38.338.8
Auto15.4
Teleop23.7
End2.1
Third
27.91.4
26.728.1
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End1.4
blue by 5.1
33.00.5
30.330.8
Auto4.8
Teleop27.1
End1.0