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Red151
716666.1
697835.1
399069.6
Blue157
111476.4
316134.8
790231.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19115750100250151157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+2
0Endgame0
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
4Coral scored#7
18Coral points35
27Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +15
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points69
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
24Processor points12
12Net points12
36Algae points24
108Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#9
9L3#9
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points6
151Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.60.4
68.968.5
Auto16.8
Teleop43.7
End9.1
blue by 6.8
1114
#13
76.40.2
75.876.0
Auto18.8
Teleop52.1
End5.6
Second
66.10.4
65.465.0
Auto12.1
Teleop46.9
End7.1
red by 31.3
3161
#21
34.80.2
34.134.4
Auto9.7
Teleop19.1
End5.9
Third
6978
#15
35.10.4
34.534.1
Auto7.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
red by 3.4
7902
#10
31.70.2
31.031.3
Auto3.2
Teleop25.1
End3.5