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Red182
111476.4
353830.0
124178.3
Blue122
752041.0
61049.9
540976.0
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215203150250300182122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+50Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
10Coral scored#8
52Coral points41
58Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +36
18Coral scored#15
64Coral points54
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
24Processor points6
24Net points16
48Algae points22
112Total teleop76
Reef
12L4#6
6L3#9
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
182Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.31.6
75.173.5
Auto26.4
Teleop50.4
End1.5
red by 2.3
76.05.7
88.082.4
Auto22.0
Teleop51.1
End2.9
Second
1114
#13
76.41.6
78.977.3
Auto18.8
Teleop52.1
End5.6
red by 26.6
610
#19
49.95.7
69.664.0
Auto16.2
Teleop27.9
End5.7
Third
3538
#26
30.01.6
51.750.1
Auto8.2
Teleop22.4
End-0.6
blue by 11.1
7520
#20
41.05.7
49.143.5
Auto15.4
Teleop23.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsMissed69%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed