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Red212
368375.5
467881.2
591236.1
Blue190
716666.1
697835.1
399069.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210184100150250300212190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave3
11Coral scored#8
56Coral points38
65Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +2
28Coral scored#24
99Coral points87
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
12Processor points18
20Net points28
32Algae points46
131Total teleop133
Reef
20L4#10
9L3#12
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
212Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.20.5
80.280.7
Auto25.0
Teleop47.1
End9.1
red by 11.6
69.60.5
69.169.6
Auto16.8
Teleop43.7
End9.1
Second
75.50.5
74.575.0
Auto24.4
Teleop48.7
End2.5
red by 9.4
66.10.5
65.666.1
Auto12.1
Teleop46.9
End7.1
Third
5912
#27
36.10.5
35.135.6
Auto9.4
Teleop26.0
End0.6
red by 0.9
6978
#15
35.10.5
34.735.1
Auto7.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8