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Red171
747533.0
752041.0
447650.2
Blue217
716666.1
697835.1
399069.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131193050100150250300171217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+42
Endgame+52
Fouls+46
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points34
37Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +45
22Coral scored#30
80Coral points109
3Processor algae#5
6Net algae#7
18Processor points30
24Net points28
42Algae points58
122Total teleop167
Reef
13L4#17
9L3#8
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +46
6Foul points0
171Total score217

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#14
50.20.5
49.850.2
Auto11.2
Teleop38.3
End0.9
blue by 19.4
69.60.7
68.469.1
Auto16.8
Teleop43.7
End9.1
Second
7520
#20
41.00.5
40.641.0
Auto15.4
Teleop23.7
End2.1
blue by 25.1
66.10.7
64.965.6
Auto12.1
Teleop46.9
End7.1
Third
33.00.5
32.533.0
Auto4.8
Teleop27.1
End1.0
blue by 2.1
6978
#15
35.10.7
34.034.7
Auto7.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8